Since mid-January risk markets have experienced elevated volatility and weakness due to fears of the Fed’s tightening policy. Market segments with the highest valuations and most perceived sensitivity to rates have suffered the worst, as many investors took gains after a sustained post-pandemic run. While it is important to not overreact to short-term swings, it’s also important to assess possible downside moves from here based on both technicals and fundamentals. 

We have reached a pivotal point in both the economic and monetary policy cycle, and uncertainty for fixed income is high. The key questions on every fixed income investor’s mind are 1) where are rates going, 2) what do returns look like, and 3) what approach is best?