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How Trump's Re-Election Could Impact Taxes, Tariffs, and Retirement Policy for Public Pensions and Retirees

Donald Trump's re-election to the U.S. presidency and the Republican Congressional wins have introduced a wave of uncertainty and opportunity for leaders of public employee pension systems. With significant changes likely on the horizon for tax policies, trade tariffs, retirement benefits, and investment regulations, it's crucial for those managing the funds of active and retired annuitants to stay informed. This article unpacks how these potential policy shifts could impact public pensions and the broader retirement landscape, providing valuable insights for stakeholders navigating this evolving environment.

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Bridging the Gap to a Cleaner Future

When it comes to tackling climate change, there is some consensus around what needs to be done—but solving for the how is much more complicated. In some ways, the urgency around this question has intensified amid the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. While extremely concerning from a humanitarian perspective, the conflict has also accelerated the thinking around energy security and energy independence.

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Inflation: Momentum or Reversion to the Mean

With headline inflation at multi-decade highs investors are rightly concerned and it bears an in-depth look. Some of the drivers of price rises have persisted longer than the Fed expected. But looking beyond the headlines at some of those drivers of the last twelve months could be useful.

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Supply Chain in a Post-COVID-19 World

The global health pandemic and economic shutdown present unparalleled challenges to the global economy. The consequences of the financial collapse were far-reaching, exposing vulnerabilities of supply chains throughout the global economy.  Recently, the disruptions at the Suez and Panama Canals created global port congestion, a shortage of shipping containers and rising costs of goods. As a result, we anticipate manufacturers will hold more inventory on or near their facilities, increase domestic production and reduce reliance on global supply chains moving forward. We believe this will result in increased demand in the U.S. for logistics real estate in addition to secular shifts like the continued growth of online retailing. “Disruptions can be a negative for companies who are unprepared to adapt to supply chain challenges, or an opportunity to differentiate if a company can secure goods when consumers need it most,” indicated Melinda McLaughlin of Prologis. “In general, most Prologis customers view these disruptions negatively due to lost sales, increased difficulty of planning and volatile prices.”

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